Document Type
Working Paper
Publication Date
9-2-2026
Abstract
Reductions in Lower Basin water use during the last four years, including
forecast use in 2026, are similar to the initial targets for Lower Basin shortages
described in the Final Environmental Impact Statement for Post-2026
Operational Guidelines and Strategies for Lake Powell and Lake Mead (FEIS)
and the accompanying Record of Decision (ROD).
6 Lower Basin consumptive
use in 2023, 2024, and 2025, and forecast for 2026 has been the smallest for
the entire 2010-2026 period. These four years of smallest use are between 1.4
and 1.7 million acre feet/year (maf/yr) less than the 7.50 maf/yr amount
generally recognized as the Lower Basin’s mainstem allocation.
• Reductions in Lower Basin use have been achieved by large reductions
implemented by Central Arizona Project (CAP) contractors and
subcontractors, the Imperial Irrigation District (IID), and non-CAP water users in
Arizona. The reductions in use in the IID have been in summer water use and
have not affected consumptive use in winter when garden crops, such as
lettuce, onions, carrots, and broccoli, are grown.
Recommended Citation
Schmidt, Jack; Anne Castle; Eric Kuhn; Kathryn Sorensen; and Katherine Tara. "The Colorado River Water Supply Crisis in a Few Graphs: Part 2 Agricultural Water Use in the Lower Basin." (2026). https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/uc_traveling_wilburys/13