Electrical and Computer Engineering ETDs
Publication Date
Summer 7-28-2026
Abstract
The growing complexity and uncertainty of residential energy use, driven by electric
vehicles and renewable technologies, demand more intelligent and robust
management systems. Traditional methods often fail when faced with unpredictable
electricity prices and user behavior. This dissertation addresses this gap by presenting
a novel personalized framework combining detailed household energy modeling with
a risk-aware reinforcement learning agent for appliance scheduling.
The first contribution is a probabilistic, bottom-up simulation model that captures
the interdependent behaviors of occupants, appliances, and electric vehicles to
generate realistic, high-fidelity load profiles. The second contribution is a lightweight,
tabular Distributional Q-Learning (D-QL) algorithm that schedules flexible loads.
By learning the full distribution of potential costs rather than a single average value,
the D-QL agent inherently manages the risk posed by inaccurate price forecasts.
Results show that our simulation framework accurately reproduces real-world energy
data and future load scenarios. Furthermore, the D-QL scheduler consistently
outperforms a standard Q-learning counterpart in head-to-head comparisons,
delivering superior cost savings while maintaining user comfort. This research
demonstrates that combining personalized modeling with distributional reinforcement
learning offers a powerful and practical solution for robust energy management in
modern smart homes.
Document Type
Dissertation
Language
English
Degree Name
Computer Engineering
Level of Degree
Doctoral
Department Name
Electrical and Computer Engineering
First Committee Member (Chair)
Manel Martinez-Ramon
Second Committee Member
Ramiro Jordan
Third Committee Member
Marios Pattichis
Fourth Committee Member
Jose Cerrato
Recommended Citation
Pereira, Nestor Gabriel. "Modeling for You: A Personalized Approach to Residential Energy Simulation and Distributional Reinforcement Learning." (2026). https://digitalrepository.unm.edu/ece_etds/789